Combat Edge Intelligence

Dong Hyun Kim vs Sam Patterson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-4-1Record15-3-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'4"
TBDReach78"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Busan Team MADTeamTeam Crossface

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dong Hyun KimNow 1750
If they win+12→ 1762
If they lose-12→ 1738
Sam PattersonNow 1746
If they win+16→ 1762
If they lose-16→ 1730

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1670 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1640 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.12
Sig. strikes / min
2.62
49%
Strike accuracy
38%
1.89
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.06
59%
Strike defense
50%
2.93
Takedown avg.
0.82
44%
Takedown accuracy
0%
72%
Takedown defense
33%
0.60
Submission avg.
1.64

Trajectory

Dong Hyun KimSam Patterson
17001750201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (41%)
KO/TKO
7 (47%)
2 (9%)
Submission
7 (47%)
11 (50%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Sam Patterson72%
Dong Hyun Kim 28%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Sam Patterson a 72% favorite over Dong Hyun Kim in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dong Hyun Kim's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1750 vs 1746), separated by just 4 points.

Dong Hyun Kim finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Sam Patterson 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.