Dong Hyun Ma vs Erick Silva
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-11-3Record20-11-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'11"
70.50Reach74"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Busan Team MADTeamTeam Nogueira
What's at stake
Dong Hyun Ma is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Erick Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1626
If they lose-13→ 1602
If they win+18→ 1593
If they lose-14→ 1561
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1645 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1652 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dong Hyun MaErick Silva
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dong Hyun Ma60%
Erick Silva 40%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Dong Hyun Ma a 60% favorite over Erick Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Dong Hyun Ma holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1615 to 1575, a 40-point edge.
Dong Hyun Ma enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Erick Silva enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Dong Hyun Ma finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Erick Silva 85%.
Erick Silva carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.