Combat Edge Intelligence

Dong Hyun Ma vs Hunter Smith

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-11-3Record8-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
70.50Reach69"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dong Hyun MaNow 1615
If they win+12→ 1627
If they lose-12→ 1603
Hunter SmithNow 1615
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1645 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.12
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
49%
Strike accuracy
Not available
1.89
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
59%
Strike defense
Not available
2.93
Takedown avg.
Not available
44%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
72%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.60
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Dong Hyun MaHunter Smith
1550160016502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (38%)
KO/TKO
6 (75%)
6 (38%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (25%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Dong Hyun Ma59%
Hunter Smith 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dong Hyun Ma a 59% favorite over Hunter Smith in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1615 vs 1615), separated by just 0 points.

Dong Hyun Ma enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Dong Hyun Ma finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Hunter Smith 75%.

Dong Hyun Ma carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.