Combat Edge Intelligence

Dong Hyun Ma vs John Hathaway

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

16-11-3Record18-3-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'2"
70.50Reach75,5"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Busan Team MADTeamLondon Shootfighters

What's at stake

John Hathaway is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Dong Hyun Ma carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dong Hyun MaNow 1615
If they win+13→ 1628
If they lose-11→ 1604
John HathawayNow 1639
If they win+15→ 1654
If they lose-17→ 1622

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1645 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1623 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.12
Sig. strikes / min
3.40
49%
Strike accuracy
40%
1.89
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.80
59%
Strike defense
62%
2.93
Takedown avg.
2.61
44%
Takedown accuracy
44%
72%
Takedown defense
61%
0.60
Submission avg.
0.87

Trajectory

Dong Hyun MaJohn Hathaway
160016502017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

6 (38%)
KO/TKO
6 (33%)
6 (38%)
Submission
3 (17%)
4 (25%)
Decision
9 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

John Hathaway54%
Dong Hyun Ma 46%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes John Hathaway a 54% favorite over Dong Hyun Ma in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

John Hathaway holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1639 to 1615, a 24-point edge.

Dong Hyun Ma enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Dong Hyun Ma finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, John Hathaway 50%.

John Hathaway carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.