Combat Edge Intelligence

Dong Hyun Ma vs Joshua Burkman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Joshua Burkman
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Joshua Burkman

“The People's Warrior”

28-18-0LightweightLFA

1644Solid

Tale of the tape

16-11-3Record28-18-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
70.50Reach39,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Busan Team MADTeamThe Pit Elevated Fight Team

What's at stake

Joshua Burkman is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Dong Hyun Ma carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dong Hyun MaNow 1615
If they win+13→ 1628
If they lose-11→ 1604
Joshua BurkmanNow 1644
If they win+11→ 1655
If they lose-13→ 1631

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1645 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.12
Sig. strikes / min
2.69
49%
Strike accuracy
44%
1.89
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.13
59%
Strike defense
52%
2.93
Takedown avg.
2.53
44%
Takedown accuracy
37%
72%
Takedown defense
73%
0.60
Submission avg.
0.30

Trajectory

Dong Hyun MaJoshua Burkman
160016501700201720182019

Win method breakdown

6 (38%)
KO/TKO
7 (25%)
6 (38%)
Submission
10 (36%)
4 (25%)
Decision
11 (39%)

Combat Edge model read

Dong Hyun Ma64%
Joshua Burkman 36%Elo baseline: 46%

The Combat Edge model makes Dong Hyun Ma a 64% favorite over Joshua Burkman in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joshua Burkman's way (46%).

Joshua Burkman holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1644 to 1615, a 29-point edge.

Dong Hyun Ma enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Joshua Burkman enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Dong Hyun Ma finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Joshua Burkman 61%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.