Combat Edge Intelligence

Dong Hyun Ma vs Lucas Corbage

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-11-3Record13-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'8"
70.50Reach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dong Hyun MaNow 1615
If they win+12→ 1627
If they lose-12→ 1603
Lucas CorbageNow 1615
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1645 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.12
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
49%
Strike accuracy
Not available
1.89
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
59%
Strike defense
Not available
2.93
Takedown avg.
Not available
44%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
72%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.60
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Dong Hyun MaLucas Corbage
160016502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (38%)
KO/TKO
5 (38%)
6 (38%)
Submission
4 (31%)
4 (25%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Dong Hyun Ma52%
Lucas Corbage 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dong Hyun Ma a 52% favorite over Lucas Corbage in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1615 vs 1615), separated by just 0 points.

Dong Hyun Ma enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Dong Hyun Ma finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Lucas Corbage 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.