Combat Edge Intelligence

Dong Hyun Ma vs Marco Polo Reyes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-11-3Record16-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
70.50ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Busan Team MADTeamEntram Gym

What's at stake

Dong Hyun Ma is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Marco Polo Reyes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dong Hyun MaNow 1615
If they win+10→ 1625
If they lose-14→ 1601
Marco Polo ReyesNow 1567
If they win+18→ 1585
If they lose-14→ 1553

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1645 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1596 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.12
Sig. strikes / min
6
49%
Strike accuracy
37%
1.89
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.52
59%
Strike defense
60%
2.93
Takedown avg.
0
44%
Takedown accuracy
0%
72%
Takedown defense
47%
0.60
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Dong Hyun MaMarco Polo Reyes
1550160016502017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

6 (38%)
KO/TKO
12 (75%)
6 (38%)
Submission
2 (13%)
4 (25%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Dong Hyun Ma70%
Marco Polo Reyes 30%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Dong Hyun Ma a 70% favorite over Marco Polo Reyes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Dong Hyun Ma holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1615 to 1567, a 48-point edge.

Dong Hyun Ma enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Marco Polo Reyes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dong Hyun Ma finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Marco Polo Reyes 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.