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Combat Edge Intelligence

Dong Hyun Ma vs Nicolae Bivol

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

16-11-3Record8-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
70.50Reach72.4"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Busan Team MAD· 1639 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamFree Fight Academy· 1536 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dong Hyun MaNow 1615
If they win+12→ 1627
If they lose-12→ 1603
Nicolae BivolNow 1616
If they win+16→ 1632
If they lose-16→ 1600

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1645 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.12
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
49%
Strike accuracy
Not available
1.89
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
59%
Strike defense
Not available
2.93
Takedown avg.
Not available
44%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
72%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.60
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Dong Hyun MaNicolae Bivol
1550160016502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (38%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
6 (38%)
Submission
3 (38%)
4 (25%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Dong Hyun Ma56%
Nicolae Bivol 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dong Hyun Ma a 56% favorite over Nicolae Bivol in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nicolae Bivol's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1615 vs 1616), separated by just 1 points.

Dong Hyun Ma enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Dong Hyun Ma finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Nicolae Bivol 88%.

Nicolae Bivol carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.