Combat Edge Intelligence

Dong Hyun Ma vs Scott Holtzman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-11-3Record14-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
70.50Reach69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Busan Team MADTeamShield Systems

What's at stake

Scott Holtzman is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Dong Hyun Ma carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dong Hyun MaNow 1615
If they win+14→ 1629
If they lose-10→ 1605
Scott HoltzmanNow 1664
If they win+14→ 1678
If they lose-18→ 1646

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1645 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1684 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.12
Sig. strikes / min
4.32
49%
Strike accuracy
48%
1.89
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.66
59%
Strike defense
55%
2.93
Takedown avg.
1.88
44%
Takedown accuracy
57%
72%
Takedown defense
67%
0.60
Submission avg.
0.18

Trajectory

Dong Hyun MaScott Holtzman
160016501700201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

6 (38%)
KO/TKO
5 (36%)
6 (38%)
Submission
2 (14%)
4 (25%)
Decision
7 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Scott Holtzman54%
Dong Hyun Ma 46%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Scott Holtzman a 54% favorite over Dong Hyun Ma in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Scott Holtzman holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1664 to 1615, a 49-point edge.

Dong Hyun Ma enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Scott Holtzman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Dong Hyun Ma finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Scott Holtzman 50%.

Dong Hyun Ma carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.