Combat Edge Intelligence

Dong Hyun Ma vs Siyar Bahadurzada

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-11-3Record24-8-1
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'11"
70.50Reach72,5"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Busan Team MADTeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

Siyar Bahadurzada is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Dong Hyun Ma carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dong Hyun MaNow 1615
If they win+15→ 1630
If they lose-9→ 1606
Siyar BahadurzadaNow 1693
If they win+9→ 1702
If they lose-15→ 1678

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1645 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1664 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.12
Sig. strikes / min
2.91
49%
Strike accuracy
41%
1.89
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.23
59%
Strike defense
49%
2.93
Takedown avg.
1.32
44%
Takedown accuracy
62%
72%
Takedown defense
63%
0.60
Submission avg.
0.33

Trajectory

Dong Hyun MaSiyar Bahadurzada
160016501700201720182019

Win method breakdown

6 (38%)
KO/TKO
14 (58%)
6 (38%)
Submission
6 (25%)
4 (25%)
Decision
4 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Siyar Bahadurzada61%
Dong Hyun Ma 39%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Siyar Bahadurzada a 61% favorite over Dong Hyun Ma in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Siyar Bahadurzada holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1693 to 1615, a 78-point edge.

Dong Hyun Ma enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Siyar Bahadurzada enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dong Hyun Ma finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Siyar Bahadurzada 83%.

Siyar Bahadurzada carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.