Combat Edge Intelligence

Dong Hyun Ma vs Tarec Saffiedine

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-11-3Record16-7-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'9"
70.50Reach70,0"
155 lbsWeight169 lbs
Busan Team MADTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

Tarec Saffiedine is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Dong Hyun Ma carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dong Hyun MaNow 1615
If they win+14→ 1629
If they lose-10→ 1605
Tarec SaffiedineNow 1659
If they win+14→ 1673
If they lose-18→ 1641

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1645 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1699 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.12
Sig. strikes / min
4.05
49%
Strike accuracy
48%
1.89
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.06
59%
Strike defense
62%
2.93
Takedown avg.
0.52
44%
Takedown accuracy
36%
72%
Takedown defense
85%
0.60
Submission avg.
0.13

Trajectory

Dong Hyun MaTarec Saffiedine
16001650170020152016201720182019

Win method breakdown

6 (38%)
KO/TKO
1 (6%)
6 (38%)
Submission
5 (31%)
4 (25%)
Decision
10 (63%)

Combat Edge model read

Tarec Saffiedine54%
Dong Hyun Ma 46%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Tarec Saffiedine a 54% favorite over Dong Hyun Ma in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Tarec Saffiedine holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1659 to 1615, a 44-point edge.

Dong Hyun Ma enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Tarec Saffiedine enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Dong Hyun Ma finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Tarec Saffiedine 38%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.