Combat Edge Intelligence

Dong Hyun Ma vs TJ Grant

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-11-3Record21-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
70.50ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Busan Team MADTeamFit Plus

What's at stake

TJ Grant is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Dong Hyun Ma carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dong Hyun MaNow 1615
If they win+13→ 1628
If they lose-11→ 1604
TJ GrantNow 1653
If they win+14→ 1667
If they lose-18→ 1635

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1645 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1648 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.12
Sig. strikes / min
3.95
49%
Strike accuracy
54%
1.89
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.21
59%
Strike defense
57%
2.93
Takedown avg.
1.63
44%
Takedown accuracy
44%
72%
Takedown defense
37%
0.60
Submission avg.
0.58

Trajectory

Dong Hyun MaTJ Grant
155016001650201120122013201420152016201720182019

Win method breakdown

6 (38%)
KO/TKO
4 (19%)
6 (38%)
Submission
13 (62%)
4 (25%)
Decision
4 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

TJ Grant60%
Dong Hyun Ma 40%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes TJ Grant a 60% favorite over Dong Hyun Ma in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

TJ Grant holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1653 to 1615, a 38-point edge.

Dong Hyun Ma enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

TJ Grant enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Dong Hyun Ma finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, TJ Grant 81%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.