Combat Edge Intelligence

Dong Hyun Ma vs Tyron Woodley

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tyron Woodley
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Tyron Woodley

“The Chosen One”

19-7-1WelterweightBOXING

1774Great

Tale of the tape

16-11-3Record19-7-1
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'9"
70.50Reach74"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Busan Team MADTeamAmerican Top Team Evolution

What's at stake

Tyron Woodley is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Dong Hyun Ma carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dong Hyun MaNow 1615
If they win+17→ 1632
If they lose-7→ 1608
Tyron WoodleyNow 1774
If they win+7→ 1781
If they lose-17→ 1757

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1645 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1761 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.12
Sig. strikes / min
2.36
49%
Strike accuracy
49%
1.89
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.76
59%
Strike defense
55%
2.93
Takedown avg.
1.06
44%
Takedown accuracy
40%
72%
Takedown defense
88%
0.60
Submission avg.
0.39

Trajectory

Dong Hyun MaTyron Woodley
16001700180020172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

6 (38%)
KO/TKO
7 (37%)
6 (38%)
Submission
5 (26%)
4 (25%)
Decision
7 (37%)

Combat Edge model read

Tyron Woodley67%
Dong Hyun Ma 33%Elo baseline: 71%

The Combat Edge model makes Tyron Woodley a 67% favorite over Dong Hyun Ma in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).

Tyron Woodley holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1774 to 1615, a 159-point edge.

Dong Hyun Ma enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Tyron Woodley enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Dong Hyun Ma finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Tyron Woodley 63%.

Dong Hyun Ma and Tyron Woodley share 1 common opponent: Colby Covington.

Tyron Woodley carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDEC · 2017
Colby Covington
LossTKO · 2020