Donny Walker vs Jacob Pais
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-10-0Record1-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'11"
TBDReach73"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
GriffonRawl Thaiboxing & MMA AcademyTeamKAMICUOZZI MMA & FITNESS
What's at stake
Donny Walker is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Jacob Pais carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1542
If they lose-17→ 1510
If they win+26→ 1529
If they lose-22→ 1481
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Donny WalkerJacob Pais
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jacob Pais91%
Donny Walker 9%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Jacob Pais a 91% favorite over Donny Walker in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Donny Walker's way (47%).
Donny Walker holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1527 to 1503, a 24-point edge.
Donny Walker enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Donny Walker finishes 80% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.