Combat Edge Intelligence

Donte Johnson vs Duško Todorović

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-0-0Record13-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'8"Height6'1"
74"Reach74"
209 lbsWeight185 lbs
Titletown MMATeamSecutor

What's at stake

Donte Johnson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +17 while a loss costs more — Duško Todorović carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Donte JohnsonNow 1707
If they win+17→ 1724
If they lose-31→ 1676
Duško TodorovićNow 1600
If they win+21→ 1621
If they lose-11→ 1589

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1531 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1638 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.11
Sig. strikes / min
4.73
48%
Strike accuracy
58%
2
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.40
62%
Strike defense
48%
2
Takedown avg.
1.77
100%
Takedown accuracy
21%
75%
Takedown defense
43%
0.67
Submission avg.
0.35

Trajectory

Donte JohnsonDuško Todorović
155016001650170020252026

Win method breakdown

7 (78%)
KO/TKO
8 (62%)
1 (11%)
Submission
4 (31%)
1 (11%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Donte Johnson92%
Duško Todorović 8%Elo baseline: 65%

The Combat Edge model makes Donte Johnson a 92% favorite over Duško Todorović in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).

Donte Johnson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1707 to 1600, a 107-point edge.

Donte Johnson enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Donte Johnson finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Duško Todorović 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.