Combat Edge Intelligence

Donte Johnson vs Duško Todorović

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-0-0Record13-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'8"Height6'1"
74"Reach74"
209 lbsWeight185 lbs
Titletown MMATeamSecutor

What's at stake

Donte Johnson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Duško Todorović carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Donte JohnsonNow 1681
If they win+20→ 1701
If they lose-28→ 1653
Duško TodorovićNow 1621
If they win+19→ 1640
If they lose-13→ 1608

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1516 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1639 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.34
Sig. strikes / min
4.73
64%
Strike accuracy
58%
1.87
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.40
59%
Strike defense
48%
6.01
Takedown avg.
1.77
100%
Takedown accuracy
21%
80%
Takedown defense
43%
2
Submission avg.
0.35

Trajectory

Donte JohnsonDuško Todorović
15501600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (75%)
KO/TKO
8 (62%)
1 (13%)
Submission
4 (31%)
1 (13%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Donte Johnson73%
Duško Todorović 27%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Donte Johnson a 73% favorite over Duško Todorović in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Donte Johnson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1681 to 1621, a 60-point edge.

Donte Johnson enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Donte Johnson finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Duško Todorović 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.