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Combat Edge Intelligence

Donte Johnson vs Joilton Lutterbach

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

9-0-0Record38-9-0
HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'8"Height6'0"
74"ReachTBD
209 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Donte JohnsonNow 1707
If they win+24→ 1731
If they lose-24→ 1683
Joilton LutterbachNow 1706
If they win+12→ 1718
If they lose-12→ 1694

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1531 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.36
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
46%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.11
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
61%
Strike defense
Not available
1.87
Takedown avg.
Not available
100%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
77%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.62
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Donte JohnsonJoilton Lutterbach
15501600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (78%)
KO/TKO
14 (37%)
1 (11%)
Submission
13 (34%)
1 (11%)
Decision
11 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Donte Johnson54%
Joilton Lutterbach 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Donte Johnson a 54% favorite over Joilton Lutterbach in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1707 vs 1706), separated by just 1 points.

Donte Johnson enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Donte Johnson finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Joilton Lutterbach 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.