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Combat Edge Intelligence

Donte Johnson vs Rickson Gracie

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

9-0-0Record11-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'8"Height5'10"
74"ReachTBD
209 lbsWeight185 lbs
Titletown MMATeamRickson Gracie Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Donte JohnsonNow 1706
If they win+24→ 1730
If they lose-24→ 1682
Rickson GracieNow 1703
If they win+24→ 1727
If they lose-24→ 1679

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1529 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.36
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
46%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.11
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
61%
Strike defense
Not available
1.87
Takedown avg.
Not available
100%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
77%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.62
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Donte JohnsonRickson Gracie
155016001650170019981999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (78%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
1 (11%)
Submission
9 (82%)
1 (11%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Donte Johnson56%
Rickson Gracie 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Donte Johnson a 56% favorite over Rickson Gracie in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1706 vs 1703), separated by just 3 points.

Donte Johnson enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Rickson Gracie enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Donte Johnson finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Rickson Gracie 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.