Doug Evans vs Gustavo García
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-11-0Record1-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"HeightTBD
TBDReach-
150 lbsWeight152 lbs
Gladiators Training AcademyTeam
What's at stake
Gustavo García is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Doug Evans carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1370
If they lose-13→ 1338
If they win+19→ 1438
If they lose-29→ 1390
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Doug EvansGustavo García
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gustavo García56%
Doug Evans 44%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Gustavo García a 56% favorite over Doug Evans in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Gustavo García holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1419 to 1351, a 68-point edge.
Doug Evans enters on a 10-fight loss streak.
Doug Evans finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.