Doug Evans vs Mark Bocek
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-11-0Record12-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
150 lbsWeight155 lbs
Gladiators Training AcademyTeamTristar Gym
What's at stake
Mark Bocek is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +4 while a loss costs more — Doug Evans carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+28→ 1379
If they lose-4→ 1347
If they win+4→ 1701
If they lose-28→ 1669
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1644 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Doug EvansMark Bocek
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mark Bocek84%
Doug Evans 16%Elo baseline: 88%
The Combat Edge model makes Mark Bocek a 84% favorite over Doug Evans in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (88%).
Mark Bocek holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1697 to 1351, a 346-point edge.
Doug Evans enters on a 10-fight loss streak.
Doug Evans finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Mark Bocek 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.