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Combat Edge Intelligence

Doug Evans vs Oseas Cruz Furtado

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Doug Evans
us

Doug Evans

“Demon”

3-11-0LightweightX1

1351Developing

Tale of the tape

3-11-0Record5-11-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
150 lbsWeight155 lbs
Gladiators Training AcademyTeamCicero Miaygui Fight Team

What's at stake

Doug Evans is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Oseas Cruz Furtado carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Doug EvansNow 1351
If they win+15→ 1366
If they lose-17→ 1334
Oseas Cruz FurtadoNow 1321
If they win+26→ 1347
If they lose-21→ 1300

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1493 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.79
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
36%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
56%
Strike defense
Not available
3.19
Takedown avg.
Not available
83%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
70%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.64
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Doug EvansOseas Cruz Furtado
13501400145020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (33%)
KO/TKO
2 (40%)
2 (67%)
Submission
2 (40%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Doug Evans and Oseas Cruz Furtado within a point of even.

Doug Evans holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1351 to 1321, a 30-point edge.

Doug Evans enters on a 10-fight loss streak.

Oseas Cruz Furtado enters on a 8-fight loss streak.

Doug Evans finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Oseas Cruz Furtado 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.