Doug Evans vs Roger Huerta
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-11-0Record24-13-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
150 lbsWeight155 lbs
Gladiators Training AcademyTeamAllstars Training Center· 1670 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
Roger Huerta is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Doug Evans carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1376
If they lose-7→ 1344
If they win+5→ 1586
If they lose-19→ 1562
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Doug EvansRoger Huerta
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Roger Huerta71%
Doug Evans 29%Elo baseline: 79%
The Combat Edge model makes Roger Huerta a 71% favorite over Doug Evans in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (79%).
Roger Huerta holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1581 to 1351, a 230-point edge.
Doug Evans enters on a 10-fight loss streak.
Roger Huerta enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Doug Evans finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Roger Huerta 77%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.