Combat Edge Intelligence

Doug Marshall vs Robert Bryczek

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-8-0Record18-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'0"
TBDReach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Elite TeamTeamVeto Team Bielsko-Biala

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Doug MarshallNow 1657
If they win+12→ 1669
If they lose-12→ 1645
Robert BryczekNow 1660
If they win+16→ 1676
If they lose-16→ 1644

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1602 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.97
Sig. strikes / min
3.74
51%
Strike accuracy
37%
6.29
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.08
62%
Strike defense
60%
0
Takedown avg.
0.56
TBD
Takedown accuracy
100%
0%
Takedown defense
86%
6.29
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Doug MarshallRobert Bryczek
16001650170020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (72%)
KO/TKO
12 (67%)
3 (17%)
Submission
1 (6%)
2 (11%)
Decision
5 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Robert Bryczek66%
Doug Marshall 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Robert Bryczek a 66% favorite over Doug Marshall in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1657 vs 1660), separated by just 3 points.

Doug Marshall enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Doug Marshall finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Robert Bryczek 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.