Douglas Lima vs Ronaldo Souza
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
33-12-0Record26-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
74"Reach72"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top Team AtlantaTeamFusion X-Cel Performance
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1760
If they lose-12→ 1736
If they win+12→ 1761
If they lose-12→ 1737
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1753 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1726 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Douglas LimaRonaldo Souza
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Douglas Lima60%
Ronaldo Souza 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Douglas Lima a 60% favorite over Ronaldo Souza in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ronaldo Souza's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1748 vs 1749), separated by just 1 points.
Ronaldo Souza enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Douglas Lima finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Ronaldo Souza 85%.
Douglas Lima carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.