Douglas Lima vs Thales Leites
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
33-12-0Record28-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
74"Reach78,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top Team AtlantaTeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1760
If they lose-12→ 1736
If they win+12→ 1756
If they lose-12→ 1732
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1753 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1713 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Douglas LimaThales Leites
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Douglas Lima and Thales Leites within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1748 vs 1744), separated by just 4 points.
Douglas Lima finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Thales Leites 68%.
Douglas Lima and Thales Leites share 1 common opponent: Gegard Mousasi.
Thales Leites carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.