Douglas Rodrigues vs Edwin Dewees
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record38-17-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
74"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Astra Fight Team· 1594 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamLions Den Scottsdale
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1611
If they lose-24→ 1563
If they win+12→ 1595
If they lose-12→ 1571
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1512 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1546 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Douglas RodriguesEdwin Dewees
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Douglas Rodrigues87%
Edwin Dewees 13%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Douglas Rodrigues a 87% favorite over Edwin Dewees in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1587 vs 1583), separated by just 4 points.
Edwin Dewees enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Douglas Rodrigues finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Edwin Dewees 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.