Combat Edge Intelligence

Douglas Rodrigues vs Herman Terrado

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record15-7-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'9"
74"Reach69"
185 lbsWeight179 lbs
Astra Fight Team· 1594 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamUndisputed Downtown

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Douglas RodriguesNow 1587
If they win+24→ 1611
If they lose-24→ 1563
Herman TerradoNow 1588
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1512 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1588 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Douglas RodriguesHerman Terrado
1600202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (71%)
KO/TKO
8 (53%)
1 (14%)
Submission
6 (40%)
1 (14%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Douglas Rodrigues92%
Herman Terrado 8%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Douglas Rodrigues a 92% favorite over Herman Terrado in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Herman Terrado's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1587 vs 1588), separated by just 1 points.

Herman Terrado enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Douglas Rodrigues finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Herman Terrado 93%.

Douglas Rodrigues carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.