Douglas Rodrigues vs Jason MacDonald
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record25-16-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'2"
74"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Astra Fight Team· 1594 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamPure Fitness
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1611
If they lose-24→ 1563
If they win+12→ 1599
If they lose-12→ 1575
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1512 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1600 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Douglas RodriguesJason MacDonald
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Douglas Rodrigues88%
Jason MacDonald 12%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Douglas Rodrigues a 88% favorite over Jason MacDonald in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1587 vs 1587), separated by just 0 points.
Jason MacDonald enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Douglas Rodrigues finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Jason MacDonald 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.