Douglas Rodrigues vs Joseph Kropschot
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record9-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'2"
74"Reach79"
185 lbsWeight184 lbs
Astra Fight Team· 1594 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamTeam Black
What's at stake
Joseph Kropschot is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Douglas Rodrigues carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1613
If they lose-22→ 1565
If they win+15→ 1630
If they lose-17→ 1598
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1512 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Douglas RodriguesJoseph Kropschot
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joseph Kropschot71%
Douglas Rodrigues 29%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Joseph Kropschot a 71% favorite over Douglas Rodrigues in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Joseph Kropschot holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1615 to 1587, a 28-point edge.
Joseph Kropschot enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Douglas Rodrigues finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Joseph Kropschot 89%.
Joseph Kropschot carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.