Douglas Rodrigues vs Ryan Loder
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record7-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'2"
74"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Astra Fight Team· 1575 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamApex Wrestling Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1613
If they lose-24→ 1565
If they win+16→ 1606
If they lose-16→ 1574
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1517 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Douglas RodriguesRyan Loder
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryan Loder52%
Douglas Rodrigues 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Loder a 52% favorite over Douglas Rodrigues in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1589 vs 1590), separated by just 1 points.
Ryan Loder enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Douglas Rodrigues finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Loder 71%.
Ryan Loder carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.