Douglas Rodrigues vs Steve Montgomery
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record10-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'4"
74"Reach75,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Astra Fight Team· 1594 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1611
If they lose-24→ 1563
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1512 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Douglas RodriguesSteve Montgomery
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Douglas Rodrigues72%
Steve Montgomery 28%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Douglas Rodrigues a 72% favorite over Steve Montgomery in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Steve Montgomery's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1587 vs 1588), separated by just 1 points.
Douglas Rodrigues finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Steve Montgomery 90%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.