Combat Edge Intelligence

Douglas Silva de Andrade vs Gaetano Pirrello

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

29-7-0Record16-7-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
68"Reach68,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Corinthians MMATeamOsman Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Douglas Silva de AndradeNow 1596
If they win+15→ 1611
If they lose-17→ 1579
Gaetano PirrelloNow 1585
If they win+17→ 1602
If they lose-15→ 1570

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.54
Sig. strikes / min
0.99
38%
Strike accuracy
55%
3.93
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.44
58%
Strike defense
43%
0.55
Takedown avg.
0
43%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
73%
Takedown defense
30%
0.18
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Douglas Silva de AndradeGaetano Pirrello
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

20 (69%)
KO/TKO
11 (69%)
2 (7%)
Submission
3 (19%)
7 (24%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Gaetano Pirrello51%
Douglas Silva de Andrade 49%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Gaetano Pirrello a 51% favorite over Douglas Silva de Andrade in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Douglas Silva de Andrade's way (48%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1596 vs 1585), separated by just 11 points.

Douglas Silva de Andrade enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Douglas Silva de Andrade finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Gaetano Pirrello 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.