Combat Edge Intelligence

Douglas Silva de Andrade vs Jarno Errens

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

29-7-0Record15-6-1
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'11"
68"Reach73"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Douglas Silva de AndradeNow 1596
If they win+16→ 1612
If they lose-16→ 1580
Jarno ErrensNow 1596
If they win+16→ 1612
If they lose-16→ 1580

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.54
Sig. strikes / min
3.29
38%
Strike accuracy
44%
3.93
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.29
58%
Strike defense
62%
0.55
Takedown avg.
0
43%
Takedown accuracy
0%
73%
Takedown defense
33%
0.18
Submission avg.
0.31

Trajectory

Douglas Silva de AndradeJarno Errens
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

20 (69%)
KO/TKO
3 (20%)
2 (7%)
Submission
5 (33%)
7 (24%)
Decision
7 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Jarno Errens57%
Douglas Silva de Andrade 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jarno Errens a 57% favorite over Douglas Silva de Andrade in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Douglas Silva de Andrade's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1596 vs 1596), separated by just 0 points.

Douglas Silva de Andrade enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Douglas Silva de Andrade finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Jarno Errens 53%.

Jarno Errens carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.