Combat Edge Intelligence

Douglas Silva de Andrade vs Javier Reyes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

29-7-0Record23-6-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'10"
68"Reach73"
135 lbsWeight146 lbs
Corinthians MMATeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

Javier Reyes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Douglas Silva de Andrade carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Douglas Silva de AndradeNow 1627
If they win+18→ 1645
If they lose-14→ 1613
Javier ReyesNow 1675
If they win+10→ 1685
If they lose-14→ 1661

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.54
Sig. strikes / min
8.91
38%
Strike accuracy
56%
3.93
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.53
58%
Strike defense
47%
0.55
Takedown avg.
2
43%
Takedown accuracy
50%
73%
Takedown defense
50%
0.18
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Douglas Silva de AndradeJavier Reyes
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

20 (69%)
KO/TKO
11 (48%)
2 (7%)
Submission
8 (35%)
7 (24%)
Decision
4 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Javier Reyes92%
Douglas Silva de Andrade 8%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Javier Reyes a 92% favorite over Douglas Silva de Andrade in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Javier Reyes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1675 to 1627, a 48-point edge.

Douglas Silva de Andrade enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Douglas Silva de Andrade finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Javier Reyes 83%.

Javier Reyes carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.