Combat Edge Intelligence

Douglas Silva de Andrade vs Lerone Murphy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

29-7-0Record17-1-1
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'10"
68"Reach73"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Corinthians MMATeamManchester Top Team

What's at stake

Lerone Murphy is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Douglas Silva de Andrade carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Douglas Silva de AndradeNow 1615
If they win+23→ 1638
If they lose-9→ 1606
Lerone MurphyNow 1791
If they win+9→ 1800
If they lose-23→ 1768

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1702 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.54
Sig. strikes / min
4.48
38%
Strike accuracy
54%
3.93
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.51
58%
Strike defense
62%
0.55
Takedown avg.
1.41
43%
Takedown accuracy
54%
73%
Takedown defense
51%
0.18
Submission avg.
0.54

Trajectory

Douglas Silva de AndradeLerone Murphy
16001650170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

20 (69%)
KO/TKO
8 (47%)
2 (7%)
Submission
0 (0%)
7 (24%)
Decision
9 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

Lerone Murphy92%
Douglas Silva de Andrade 8%Elo baseline: 73%

The Combat Edge model makes Lerone Murphy a 92% favorite over Douglas Silva de Andrade in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).

Lerone Murphy holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1791 to 1615, a 176-point edge.

Douglas Silva de Andrade enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Douglas Silva de Andrade finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Lerone Murphy 47%.

Lerone Murphy carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.