Douglas Silva de Andrade vs Renan Barão
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-7-0Record34-10-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
68"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Corinthians MMATeamPitbull Brothers
What's at stake
Douglas Silva de Andrade is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Renan Barão carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1630
If they lose-17→ 1598
If they win+17→ 1615
If they lose-15→ 1583
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1643 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Douglas Silva de AndradeRenan Barão
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Douglas Silva de Andrade66%
Renan Barão 34%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Douglas Silva de Andrade a 66% favorite over Renan Barão in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Douglas Silva de Andrade holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1615 to 1598, a 17-point edge.
Douglas Silva de Andrade enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Renan Barão enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Douglas Silva de Andrade finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Renan Barão 68%.
Renan Barão carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.