Douglas Silva de Andrade vs Renan Barão
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-7-0Record34-10-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
68"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Corinthians MMA· 1591 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamPitbull Brothers· 1626 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
Renan Barão is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Douglas Silva de Andrade carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1599
If they lose-15→ 1567
If they win+15→ 1612
If they lose-17→ 1580
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1640 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Douglas Silva de AndradeRenan Barão
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Renan Barão58%
Douglas Silva de Andrade 42%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Renan Barão a 58% favorite over Douglas Silva de Andrade in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Renan Barão holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1597 to 1582, a 15-point edge.
Douglas Silva de Andrade enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Renan Barão enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Douglas Silva de Andrade finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Renan Barão 68%.
Renan Barão carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.