Combat Edge Intelligence

Douglas Silva de Andrade vs Sergey Morozov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

29-7-0Record19-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
68"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Corinthians MMATeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Sergey Morozov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Douglas Silva de Andrade carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Douglas Silva de AndradeNow 1596
If they win+20→ 1616
If they lose-12→ 1584
Sergey MorozovNow 1676
If they win+12→ 1688
If they lose-20→ 1656

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1672 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1587 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.54
Sig. strikes / min
3.01
38%
Strike accuracy
43%
3.93
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.97
58%
Strike defense
61%
0.55
Takedown avg.
3.63
43%
Takedown accuracy
32%
73%
Takedown defense
68%
0.18
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Douglas Silva de AndradeSergey Morozov
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

20 (69%)
KO/TKO
8 (42%)
2 (7%)
Submission
3 (16%)
7 (24%)
Decision
8 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Sergey Morozov75%
Douglas Silva de Andrade 25%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Sergey Morozov a 75% favorite over Douglas Silva de Andrade in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Sergey Morozov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1676 to 1596, a 80-point edge.

Douglas Silva de Andrade enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Sergey Morozov enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Douglas Silva de Andrade finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Sergey Morozov 58%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.