Combat Edge Intelligence

Dovlet Yagshimuradov vs Iwo Baraniewski

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-9-1Record9-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'0"
72"Reach73"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAligatores Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dovlet YagshimuradovNow 1713
If they win+12→ 1725
If they lose-12→ 1701
Iwo BaraniewskiNow 1716
If they win+24→ 1740
If they lose-24→ 1692

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
11.35
TBD
Strike accuracy
58%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.65
TBD
Strike defense
53%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Dovlet YagshimuradovIwo Baraniewski
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

14 (54%)
KO/TKO
7 (78%)
4 (15%)
Submission
2 (22%)
8 (31%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Iwo Baraniewski63%
Dovlet Yagshimuradov 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Iwo Baraniewski a 63% favorite over Dovlet Yagshimuradov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1713 vs 1716), separated by just 3 points.

Iwo Baraniewski enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Dovlet Yagshimuradov finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Iwo Baraniewski 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.