Combat Edge Intelligence

Dovlet Yagshimuradov vs Jason Brilz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jason Brilz
us

Jason Brilz

“The Hitman”

23-6-1Light HeavyweightDCS

1714Good

Tale of the tape

26-9-1Record23-6-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height5'11"
72"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Top TeamTeamElite Performance

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dovlet YagshimuradovNow 1713
If they win+12→ 1725
If they lose-12→ 1701
Jason BrilzNow 1714
If they win+12→ 1726
If they lose-12→ 1702

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1600 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.66
TBD
Strike accuracy
40%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.78
TBD
Strike defense
65%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.37
TBD
Takedown accuracy
25%
TBD
Takedown defense
25%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.29

Trajectory

Dovlet YagshimuradovJason Brilz
1700175020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

14 (54%)
KO/TKO
8 (35%)
4 (15%)
Submission
8 (35%)
8 (31%)
Decision
7 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Dovlet Yagshimuradov66%
Jason Brilz 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dovlet Yagshimuradov a 66% favorite over Jason Brilz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jason Brilz's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1713 vs 1714), separated by just 1 points.

Dovlet Yagshimuradov finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Jason Brilz 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.