Combat Edge Intelligence

Dovlet Yagshimuradov vs Phil Davis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Phil Davis
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Phil Davis

“Mr. Wonderful”

24-7-0Light HeavyweightBFC

1723Good

Tale of the tape

26-8-1Record24-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'2"
72"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAlliance MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dovlet YagshimuradovNow 1724
If they win+12→ 1736
If they lose-12→ 1712
Phil DavisNow 1723
If they win+12→ 1735
If they lose-12→ 1711

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1637 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1670 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.87
TBD
Strike accuracy
35%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.39
TBD
Strike defense
72%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.76
TBD
Takedown accuracy
36%
TBD
Takedown defense
72%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.53

Trajectory

Dovlet YagshimuradovPhil Davis
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

14 (54%)
KO/TKO
6 (25%)
4 (15%)
Submission
5 (21%)
8 (31%)
Decision
13 (54%)

Combat Edge model read

Dovlet Yagshimuradov70%
Phil Davis 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dovlet Yagshimuradov a 70% favorite over Phil Davis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1724 vs 1723), separated by just 1 points.

Dovlet Yagshimuradov finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Phil Davis 46%.

Dovlet Yagshimuradov and Phil Davis share 4 common opponents: Corey Anderson, Rob Wilkinson, Julius Anglickas and Karl Albrektsson.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (4)

WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2024
Rob Wilkinson
WinTKO (Punches) · 2025
LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2025
Corey Anderson
LossDecision (Split) · 2023
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2023
Julius Anglickas
Win Decision · 2022
LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2021
Karl Albrektsson
Win Punches & Elbows From Back Mount · 2019