Combat Edge Intelligence

Drako Rodriguez vs Vince Morales

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-4-0Record16-11-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
69,5"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
One Combat AcademyTeamSyndicate MMA

What's at stake

Vince Morales is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Drako Rodriguez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Drako RodriguezNow 1557
If they win+19→ 1576
If they lose-13→ 1544
Vince MoralesNow 1617
If they win+10→ 1627
If they lose-14→ 1603

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1610 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.37
Sig. strikes / min
3.57
36%
Strike accuracy
38%
4.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4
58%
Strike defense
54%
2.93
Takedown avg.
0.59
67%
Takedown accuracy
40%
75%
Takedown defense
59%
0.73
Submission avg.
0.49

Trajectory

Drako RodriguezVince Morales
1550160016502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
7 (44%)
4 (57%)
Submission
5 (31%)
1 (14%)
Decision
4 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Vince Morales62%
Drako Rodriguez 38%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Vince Morales a 62% favorite over Drako Rodriguez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Vince Morales holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1617 to 1557, a 60-point edge.

Drako Rodriguez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Vince Morales enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Drako Rodriguez finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Vince Morales 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.