Combat Edge Intelligence

Drew Dimanlig vs Ondřej Raška

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-4-0Record12-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
174 lbsWeight185 lbs
Nor Cal Fight FactoryTeamJetsaam Gym Brno

What's at stake

Ondřej Raška is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Drew Dimanlig carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Drew DimanligNow 1445
If they win+25→ 1470
If they lose-23→ 1422
Ondřej RaškaNow 1466
If they win+15→ 1481
If they lose-17→ 1449

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1503 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Drew DimanligOndřej Raška
14501500155020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (33%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
1 (33%)
Submission
5 (42%)
1 (33%)
Decision
4 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Ondřej Raška70%
Drew Dimanlig 30%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Ondřej Raška a 70% favorite over Drew Dimanlig in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Ondřej Raška holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1466 to 1445, a 21-point edge.

Drew Dimanlig enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Drew Dimanlig finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Ondřej Raška 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.