Combat Edge Intelligence

Drew Dober vs Efrain Escudero

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

29-15-0Record32-17-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
70″Reach70,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamMMA Lab

What's at stake

Drew Dober is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Efrain Escudero carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Drew DoberNow 1701
If they win+9→ 1710
If they lose-15→ 1686
Efrain EscuderoNow 1604
If they win+15→ 1619
If they lose-9→ 1595

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.52
Sig. strikes / min
2.92
41%
Strike accuracy
45%
4.34
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.30
53%
Strike defense
63%
0.63
Takedown avg.
1.31
17%
Takedown accuracy
41%
58%
Takedown defense
67%
0.07
Submission avg.
0.81

Trajectory

Drew DoberEfrain Escudero
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

17 (59%)
KO/TKO
2 (6%)
5 (17%)
Submission
16 (50%)
7 (24%)
Decision
14 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Drew Dober82%
Efrain Escudero 18%Elo baseline: 64%

The Combat Edge model makes Drew Dober a 82% favorite over Efrain Escudero in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).

Drew Dober holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1701 to 1604, a 97-point edge.

Drew Dober enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Drew Dober finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Efrain Escudero 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.