Drew Dober vs Jay Jay Wilson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-15-0Record12-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
70″Reach74"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamAlliance Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1713
If they lose-12→ 1689
If they win+16→ 1720
If they lose-16→ 1688
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1597 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Drew DoberJay Jay Wilson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jay Jay Wilson63%
Drew Dober 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jay Jay Wilson a 63% favorite over Drew Dober in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1701 vs 1704), separated by just 3 points.
Drew Dober enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Drew Dober finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Jay Jay Wilson 75%.
Jay Jay Wilson carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.