Drew Dober vs Joshua Burkman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-15-0Record28-18-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
70″Reach39,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamThe Pit Elevated Fight Team
What's at stake
Drew Dober is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Joshua Burkman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1711
If they lose-14→ 1687
If they win+14→ 1658
If they lose-10→ 1634
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Drew DoberJoshua Burkman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Drew Dober80%
Joshua Burkman 20%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Drew Dober a 80% favorite over Joshua Burkman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Drew Dober holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1701 to 1644, a 57-point edge.
Drew Dober enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Joshua Burkman enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Drew Dober finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Joshua Burkman 61%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.