Drew Dober vs King Green
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-15-0Record36-17-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
70″Reach71″
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamPinnacle MMA
What's at stake
King Green is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Drew Dober carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1714
If they lose-11→ 1690
If they win+11→ 1734
If they lose-13→ 1710
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1695 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Drew DoberKing Green
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
King Green60%
Drew Dober 40%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes King Green a 60% favorite over Drew Dober in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
King Green holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1723 to 1701, a 22-point edge.
Drew Dober enters on a 2-fight win streak.
King Green enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Drew Dober finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, King Green 64%.
Drew Dober and King Green share 1 common opponent: Terrance McKinney.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.