Combat Edge Intelligence

Drew Dober vs Kyle Prepolec

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

29-15-0Record18-11-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'10"
70″Reach70"
155 lbsWeight160 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamMaximum Training Centre

What's at stake

Drew Dober is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Kyle Prepolec carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Drew DoberNow 1701
If they win+8→ 1709
If they lose-16→ 1685
Kyle PrepolecNow 1567
If they win+16→ 1583
If they lose-8→ 1559

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.52
Sig. strikes / min
3.25
41%
Strike accuracy
34%
4.34
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.69
53%
Strike defense
49%
0.63
Takedown avg.
0
17%
Takedown accuracy
0%
58%
Takedown defense
45%
0.07
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Drew DoberKyle Prepolec
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

17 (59%)
KO/TKO
10 (56%)
5 (17%)
Submission
4 (22%)
7 (24%)
Decision
4 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Drew Dober75%
Kyle Prepolec 25%Elo baseline: 68%

The Combat Edge model makes Drew Dober a 75% favorite over Kyle Prepolec in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).

Drew Dober holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1701 to 1567, a 134-point edge.

Drew Dober enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Kyle Prepolec enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Drew Dober finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Kyle Prepolec 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.