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Combat Edge Intelligence

Drew Dober vs Leandro Silva

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Leandro Silva
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Leandro Silva

“Buscape / Apollo”

28-12-1LightweightOKMMA

1655Good

Tale of the tape

29-15-0Record28-12-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
70″Reach42,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Drew Dober is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Leandro Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Drew DoberNow 1700
If they win+10→ 1710
If they lose-14→ 1686
Leandro SilvaNow 1655
If they win+14→ 1669
If they lose-10→ 1645

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1654 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1617 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.48
Sig. strikes / min
2.39
41%
Strike accuracy
49%
4.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.08
53%
Strike defense
63%
0.61
Takedown avg.
1.76
13%
Takedown accuracy
38%
58%
Takedown defense
66%
0.07
Submission avg.
0.44

Trajectory

Drew DoberLeandro Silva
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

17 (59%)
KO/TKO
3 (11%)
5 (17%)
Submission
11 (39%)
7 (24%)
Decision
14 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Drew Dober74%
Leandro Silva 26%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Drew Dober a 74% favorite over Leandro Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Drew Dober holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1700 to 1655, a 45-point edge.

Drew Dober enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Drew Dober finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Leandro Silva 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.