Drew Dober vs Marco Polo Reyes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-15-0Record16-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
70″ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamEntram Gym
What's at stake
Drew Dober is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Marco Polo Reyes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1709
If they lose-16→ 1685
If they win+22→ 1589
If they lose-10→ 1557
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1596 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Drew DoberMarco Polo Reyes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Drew Dober84%
Marco Polo Reyes 16%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Drew Dober a 84% favorite over Marco Polo Reyes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Drew Dober holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1701 to 1567, a 134-point edge.
Drew Dober enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Marco Polo Reyes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Drew Dober finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Marco Polo Reyes 88%.
Drew Dober and Marco Polo Reyes share 1 common opponent: Matt Frevola.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.